Editing IPCC:AR6/WGI/Chapter-11 (section)

=== Low-likelihood, High-impact Events Associated With Climate Extremes ===

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'''The future occurrence of low-likelihood, high-impact events linked to climate extremes is generally associated with''' ''low confidence'' ''', but cannot be excluded, especially at global warming levels above 4°C.''' Compound events, including concurrent extremes, are a factor increasing the probability of low-likelihood, high-impact events ( ''high confidence'' ). With increasing global warming, some compound events with low likelihood in past and current climates will become more frequent, and there is a higher chance of occurrence of historically unprecedented events and surprises ( ''high confidence'' ). However, even extreme events that do not have a particularly low probability in the present climate (at more than 1°C of global warming) can be perceived as surprises because of the pace of global warming ( ''high confidence'' ). {Box 11.2}

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