Editing IPCC:AR6/WGII/Chapter-11 (section)

====== Projected impacts and key risks ======

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'''Further climate change is inevitable, with the rate and magnitude largely dependent on the emission pathway (''' '''''very high confidence''''' [[#footnote-001|1]] ''').''' Ongoing warming is projected, with more hot days and fewer cold days ( ''very high confidence'' ). Further sea level rise (SLR), ocean warming and ocean acidification are projected ( ''very high confidence'' ). Less winter and spring rainfall is projected in southern Australia, with more winter rainfall in Tasmania, less autumn rainfall in southwestern Victoria and less summer rainfall in western Tasmania ( ''medium confidence'' ), with uncertain rainfall changes in northern Australia. In New Zealand, more winter and spring rainfall is projected in the west and less in the east and north, with more summer rainfall in the east and less in the west and central North Island ( ''medium confidence'' ). In New Zealand, ongoing glacier retreat is projected ( ''very high confidenc'' e). More extreme fire weather is projected in southern and eastern Australia ( ''high confidence'' ) and over northern and eastern New Zealand ( ''medium confidence'' ). Increased drought frequency is projected for southern and eastern Australia and northern New Zealand ( ''medium confidence'' ). Increased heavy rainfall intensity is projected, with fewer tropical cyclones and a greater proportion of severe cyclones ( ''medium confidence'' ). {11.2.2, Table 11.3, Box 11.6}

'''Climate risks are projected to increase for a wide range of systems, sectors and communities, which are exacerbated by underlying vulnerabilities and exposures (''' '''''high confidence''''' ''')''' {11.3; 11.4} . Nine key risks have been identified, based on magnitude, likelihood, timing and adaptive capacity {11.6, Table 11.14} :

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