Editing IPCC:AR6/WGII/Chapter-13 (section)

==== 13.5.2.2 Aquatic Food ====

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Climate-resilient fish production in Europe is the goal of the EU’s Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) rebuilding fish stocks to MSY levels, but success has been variable ( [[#Froese--2018|Froese et al., 2018]] ; [[#Stecf--2019|Stecf, 2019]] ). Adaptation is largely ignored in related EU policy frameworks such as the CFP, the MSFD and the ‘Strategic guidelines for the sustainable development of EU aquaculture’. ( [[#Pham--2021|Pham et al., 2021]] ). A major governance challenge for adaptation will be the redistribution of the fixed allocation scheme for total allowable catches ( [[#Harte--2019|Harte et al., 2019]] ; [[#Baudron--2020|Baudron et al., 2020]] ). Inflexible and non-adaptive allocation schemes can result in conflicts among European countries ( ''medium confidence'' ), as demonstrated by the case of the Northeast Atlantic mackerel ( [[#Spijkers--2017|Spijkers and Boonstra, 2017]] ).

The development of adaptation strategies for seafood production since the Paris Agreement is insufficient in Europe ( ''high confidence'' ) ( [[#Kalikoski--2018|Kalikoski et al., 2018]] ; [[#Pham--2021|Pham et al., 2021]] ). Concrete plans for adaptation planning towards climate-ready fisheries and aquaculture are lacking in all parts of Europe (European Comission, 2018), especially accounting for the expected reduced landings of traditional target species and in preparation for a new portfolio of resource species ( [[#Blanchet--2019|Blanchet et al., 2019]] ).

Recent scientific progress towards adaptation in European fisheries and aquaculture include conceptual guidance and demonstration cases on climate adaptation planning ( [[#Pham--2021|Pham et al., 2021]] ) and climate vulnerability assessments ( [[#Blanchet--2019|Blanchet et al., 2019]] ; [[#Peck--2020|Peck et al., 2020]] ; [[#Payne--2021|Payne et al., 2021]] ). Sociopolitical scenarios for European aquatic resources have been developed and have the potential to inform adaptation planning by European fisheries and aquaculture sectors ( [[#Kreiss--2020|Kreiss et al., 2020]] ; [[#Hamon--2021|Hamon et al., 2021]] ; [[#Pinnegar--2021|Pinnegar et al., 2021]] ).

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