Editing IPCC:AR6/WGI/Chapter-Atlas (section)

==== [[#Atlas.5.4.5|Atlas.5.4.5]] Summary ====

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It is ''virtually certain'' that annual mean temperature has been increasing in South East Asia in the past decades while changes in annual mean precipitation are less spatially coherent though with some increasing trends over parts of Malaysia, Vietnam and the southern Philippines ( ''medium confidence'' ).

Although various biases still exist, there is ''high confidence'' that the models can reproduce seasonal climate patterns well over the different sub-regions of South East Asia. There is ''medium confidence'' that the RCMs show added value compared to their host GCMs over the region.

Projections show continued warming over South East Asia, but ''likely'' by a slightly smaller amount than the global average. Projected changes in rainfall over South East Asia vary, depending on model, sub-region and season ( ''high confidence'' ), with consistent projections of increases in annual mean rainfall from CMIP5 and CMIP6 over most land areas ( ''medium confidence'' ) and decreases in summer rainfall from CORDEX projections over much of Indonesia ( ''medium confidence'' ).

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