Jump to content
Main menu
Main menu
move to sidebar
hide
Navigation
Main page
Recent changes
Random page
Help about MediaWiki
Special pages
ClimateKG
Search
Search
English
Appearance
Create account
Log in
Personal tools
Create account
Log in
Pages for logged out editors
learn more
Contributions
Talk
Editing
IPCC:AR6/WGII/SPM
(section)
IPCC
Discussion
English
Read
Edit source
View history
Tools
Tools
move to sidebar
hide
Actions
Read
Edit source
View history
General
What links here
Related changes
Page information
In other projects
Appearance
move to sidebar
hide
Warning:
You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you
log in
or
create an account
, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
Anti-spam check. Do
not
fill this in!
=== Impacts of Temporary Overshoot === <div id="h2-7-siblings" class="h2-siblings"></div> '''B.6 If global warming transiently exceeds 1.5°C in the coming decades or later (overshoot) [[#footnote-013|37]] , then many human and natural systems will face additional severe risks, compared to remaining below 1.5°C ( '''''high confidence''''' ). Depending on the magnitude and duration of overshoot, some impacts will cause release of additional greenhouse gases ( '''''medium confidence''''' ) and some will be irreversible, even if global warming is reduced ( '''''high confidence''''' ) Expand [[#box-spm-1|Box SPM.1]] [[#figure-spm-3|Figure SPM.3]] Links to chapters 2.5, 3.4, 12.3, 16.6, CCB DEEP, CCB SLR''' <div id="spmbulletcont-b6" class="spmbulletcont"></div> '''B.6.1''' While model-based assessments of the impacts of overshoot pathways are limited, observations and current understanding of processes permit assessment of impacts from overshoot. Additional warming, e.g., above 1.5°C during an overshoot period this century, will result in irreversible impacts on certain ecosystems with low resilience, such as polar, mountain, and coastal ecosystems, impacted by ice-sheet, glacier melt, or by accelerating and higher committed sea level rise ( ''high confidence'' ). [[#footnote-012|38]] Risks to human systems will increase, including those to infrastructure, low-lying coastal settlements, some ecosystem-based adaptation measures, and associated livelihoods ( ''high confidence'' ), cultural and spiritual values ( ''medium confidence'' ). Projected impacts are less severe with shorter duration and lower levels of overshoot ( ''medium confidence'' ). { 2.5, 3.4, 12.3, 13.2, 16.5, 16.6, [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP1.2 CCP1.2] , [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP2.2 CCP2.2] , [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP5.3 CCP5.3] , [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP6.1 CCP6.1] , [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP6.2 CCP6.2] , CCB SLR, WGI AR6 SPM B.5, WGI AR6 SPM C.3, SROCC 2.3, SROCC 5.4 } '''B.6.2''' Risk of severe impacts increase with every additional increment of global warming during overshoot ( ''high confidence'' ). In high-carbon ecosystems (currently storing 3,000 to 4,000 GtC) [[#footnote-011|39]] such impacts are already observed and are projected to increase with every additional increment of global warming, such as increased wildfires, mass mortality of trees, drying of peatlands, and thawing of permafrost, weakening natural land carbon sinks and increasing releases of greenhouse gases ( ''medium confidence'' ). The resulting contribution to a potential amplification of global warming indicates that a return to a given global warming level or below would be more challenging ( ''medium confidence'' ). { 2.4, 2.5, [https://www.ipcc.ch/chapter/spm#CCP4.2 CCP4.2] , WGI AR6 SPM B.4.3, SROCC 5.4 } <div id="C:" class="h1-container openh2"></div> <span id="c-adaptation-measures-and-enabling-conditions"></span>
Summary:
Please note that all contributions to ClimateKG may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. If you do not want your writing to be edited mercilessly, then do not submit it here.
You are also promising us that you wrote this yourself, or copied it from a public domain or similar free resource (see
ClimateKG:Copyrights
for details).
Do not submit copyrighted work without permission!
Cancel
Editing help
(opens in new window)
Search
Search
Editing
IPCC:AR6/WGII/SPM
(section)
Add languages
Add topic